Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 10

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio das Alterosas (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.5
	1.27	5.2	8.6
	1.31	5.13	8.74
	1.34	4.94	8.53	Watch
	1.37	4.86	7.67
	1.27	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	5.06 ↑ (4.4)	8.44 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
70.8%

Draw
18.3%

Bahia
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Cruzeiro - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Camila Rodrigues (G) 10. Byanca Brasil 95. Gaby Soares (C) 8. Gisseli 2. Isabela 3. Isa Haas 99. Leticia Alves 9. Leticia Ferreira 4. Paloma 77. Pri Back 29. Sochor	12. Yanne (G) 3. Aila 13. Camila Santos 24. Carballo W. 28. Cassia 2. Dan 20. Ellen Santana 5. Gomez A. 77. Suelen 64. Tchula (C) 18. Vilma
Substitutes
23. Andrade L. 56. Bedoya L. 14. Camila Ambrozio 6. Clara 16. Fretes L. 92. Gio Oliveira 19. Layza 1. Leilane (G) 21. Rodriguez G. 31. Taty Amaro (G) 15. Tauane Zoio	27. Ary 16. Barbosa C. 33. Dida (G) 96. Ju Oliveira 14. Kaiuska 10. Luana Rodrigues 4. Nalon N. 7. Rhaizza 70. Thais Prado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Isa Haas 🟨,
24', Ellen Santana 🟨,
45+3', Vilma 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ellen Santana ↓, Ary ↑,
63', Suelen 🟨,
65', Suelen ↓, Kaiuska ↑,
68', Leticia Ferreira ↓, Clara ↑,
68', Sochor ↓, Bedoya L. ↑,
68', Gaby Soares ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
72', Vilma ↓, Ju Oliveira ↑,
72', Carballo W. ↓, Rhaizza ↑,
76', Aila 🟨,
80', Gomez A. ↓, Luana Rodrigues ↑,
83', Leticia Alves ↓, Camila Ambrozio ↑,
87', Gisseli ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
90+4', Isa Haas 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 0, Andrade L. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cruzeiro is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bahia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Cruzeiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG Women
Brasileiro Women
05.05.25	Real Brasilia - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
30.04.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
17.04.25	Internacional - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWW
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1 ✺
01.05.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Bahia - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Palmeiras - Bahia	3:1 ✺
16.04.25	Bahia - Real Brasilia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Supercopa do Brasil Women
08.03.25	Bahia - Cruzeiro	0:1
Brasileiro Women
04.03.23	Bahia - Cruzeiro	2:3
20.06.21	Cruzeiro - Bahia	4:0

Cruzeiro - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide