Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 8

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)


	Cruzeiro		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4.2	6.5
	1.6	3.6	6.5
	1.6	3.76	7
	1.61	3.76	6.64
	1.55	3.5	6.5
	1.62	3.64	6.25	Watch
	1.57	3.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	6.46 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
60%

Draw
25.3%

Cuiabá
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	23.1%	0%

Cruzeiro - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Ivaldo 43. Joao Marcelo 6. Kaiki 16. Lucas Silva (C) 29. Romero L. 10. Matheus Pereira 8. Rafa Silva 21. Barreal A. 30. Gabriel Veron	1. Walter (C) 21. Railan 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 30. Lucas Mineiro 27. Denilson Alves 10. Max Alves 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
Substitutes
68. Arthur Viana 23. Filipe Machado 81. Gabriel Grando (G) 77. Japa 27. Neris 28. Palacios H. 19. Rafael Elias 17. Ramiro 80. Robert 25. Villalba L. 22. Vitinho 2. Wesley Gasolina	3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 11. Eliel 88. Fernando Sobral 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 63. Juan Tavares 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 12. Rhyan (G) 20. Rikelme
Coaches
Seabra F.	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Matheus Pereira ⚽, William Furtado (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Barreal A. ↓, Japa ↑,
60', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Eliel ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Pitta I. (Pen),
66', Ramon 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Rafa Silva ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
69', Gabriel Veron ↓, Robert ↑,
69', Lucas Silva ↓, Vitinho ↑,
69', Kaiki ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
77', Clayson ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
77', Max Alves ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
78', Rafa Silva 🟨,
79', Romero L. ↓, Ramiro ↑,
81', Anderson 🟨,
86', Denilson Alves ↓, Gimenez L. ↑,
87', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
88', Seabra F. 🟨,
90+8', Marllon 🟨,

Preview

Cruzeiro in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cuiabá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cuiabá have a series of home games.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
02.06.24	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.05.24	Cruzeiro - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
16.05.24	Cruzeiro - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Alianza Valledupar - Cruzeiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
09.06.24	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:5 ✺
05.06.24	Cuiabá - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Cuiabá - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.24	Lanús - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.05.24	Cuiabá - Goiás	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
14.10.23	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	0:0
22.05.23	Cruzeiro - Cuiabá	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
29.12.20	Cruzeiro - Cuiabá	0:0
03.10.20	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	1:0

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