Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 38

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Goncalves Lima J. (Bra)


	Cruzeiro		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.64	3.6	5
	1.63	3.65	4.9
	1.65	3.92	5.64
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.68	5.2
	1.64	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.15)	3.66 ↑ (2.95)	5.16 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
56.7%

Draw
25.3%

CS Alagoano
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	5.7%	15.7%

Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (55 of 70 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 88.18%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 16).

Cruzeiro is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Serie A

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0.

Cruzeiro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches CSA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Chay (Injury) Gabriel Brazao (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Neto Moura (Injury) Stenio (Injury)

There will not play in CSA: Cedric (Injury) Ernandes (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cruzeiro	1:4 ✺
18.10.22	Cruzeiro - Guarani	0:1 ✺
14.10.22	Vila Nova - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Sport Recife - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
05.10.22	Cruzeiro - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.22	CS Alagoano - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
20.10.22	Ponte Preta - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
14.10.22	CS Alagoano - Londrina	0:1 ✺
07.10.22	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
04.10.22	Grêmio - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.07.22	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	1:1
26.09.21	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:2
27.06.21	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	2:1
15.12.20	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:1
19.09.20	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	3:1
Brazilian Serie A
28.11.19	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	0:1
25.08.19	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	1:1

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