Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli (Campinas)

Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)


	Ponte Preta		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.15	2.95	2.25
	3.25	2.9	2.3
	3.49	3.06	2.41
	3.25	2.88	2.35
	3.32	2.93	2.34
	3.25	2.95	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta
28.4%

Draw
31.6%

Cruzeiro
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

32.1%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

31.2%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	46.2%	19.2%

Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cruzeiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Everton (Injury) Fabinho (Injury) Norberto (Injury) Ramon Carvalho (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Brazao (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Waguininho (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
23.09.22	Londrina - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
13.09.22	Ponte Preta - Ituano	1:1 ✺
07.09.22	Ponte Preta - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Chapecoense - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
31.08.22	Ponte Preta - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.22	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Cruzeiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Cruzeiro - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.06.22	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:0
11.09.21	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	1:0
16.06.21	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	0:1
22.12.20	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	2:1
30.09.20	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
07.10.17	Cruzeiro - Ponte Preta	2:1
22.06.17	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	1:0

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