Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.3
	3.25	2.9	2.25
	3.2	2.95	2.28
	3.5	3.11	2.35
	3.3	2.9	2.3
	3.34	2.99	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.7)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	2.3 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
28.2%

Draw
31.3%

Cruzeiro
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

31.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

31%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	35%	20%

Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cruzeiro will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Gabriel Furtado (Injury) Luiz Daniel (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Brazao (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
25.08.22	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
04.08.22	Brusque - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TLTWT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
26.08.22	Cruzeiro - Náutico Capibaribe	4:0 ✺
21.08.22	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
09.08.22	Londrina - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
06.08.22	Cruzeiro - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.05.22	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0
18.11.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	1:1
14.08.21	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
08.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	0:1
08.10.20	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2

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