The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro U20 42.3%
Draw 26.9%
Atlético Mineiro U20 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.3%
24.8%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
25.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Atlético Mineiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Cruzeiro U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 3-4.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 2.
In recent outings, Cruzeiro U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Atlético MG U20 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Atlético MG U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético MG U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cruzeiro U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro U20 has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:17 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cruzeiro U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:5 goals (averaging 2.8:1.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Mineiro U20 - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 31.84%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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