Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 8

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Grêmio U20		Vasco da Gama U20

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.05
	3.12	3.46	2.2
	3.04	3.58	2.09
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.22	3.63	2.02
	3.45	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.45)	3.44 ↓ (3.45)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
29%

Draw
26.5%

Vasco da Gama U20
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 2.

Recent performances by Grêmio U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasco U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vasco U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vasco U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brasileiro U20
22.04.26	Juventude U20 - Grêmio U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
18.04.26	Grêmio U20 - Brasil de Farroupilha U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Grêmio U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
11.04.26	Real SC U20 - Grêmio U20	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
08.04.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Grêmio U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWL
- Vasco da Gama U20
Brasileiro U20
22.04.26	Palmeiras U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
18.04.26	Fluminense U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.04.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Juventude U20	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Vitória U20	6:1 ✺
02.04.26	Cruzeiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	2:0
30.06.22	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:1
04.09.21	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	0:3
08.11.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2
Brazilian Copinha
18.01.20	Vasco da Gama U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2 penalties
Brasileiro U20
04.07.19	Grêmio U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:2

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