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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro U20 53%
Draw 24.5%
Vasco da Gama U20 22.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42%
27.7%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26.4%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro U20's performance.
Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruzeiro U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lamounier V. (G) 8. Alessandro 6. Carvalho G. 3. Cervi J. 4. Coutinho K. 9. Felipe Morais 7. Lelis R. 5. Murilo Rhikman 2. Nicolas Pontes 11. Pablo Santos 10. Rhuan Gabriel (C)
1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 4. Andre B. 7. Andrey Fernandes 8. Felipe L. 5. Gustavo Guimaraes (C) 11. Juninho 10. Lukas Zuccarello 2. Melim L. 9. Pedro Augusto 6. Riquelme Avellar 3. Wanyson
Substitutes
20. Andre 23. Filipe 16. Ivanilson 25. Joaquim 22. Luiz Guilherme 12. Marcelo Eraclito (G) 15. Nikolic A. 21. Pedrinho 17. Pietro Tavares 19. Ruan Indio 18. Souza D. 14. Vitao
23. Alex Bruno 15. Alison 13. Amaral C. 18. Falcao Y. 19. Gabriel Soares 17. Leo Felix 16. Manes B. 20. Marca L. 12. Marcao (G) 21. Minete D. 14. Renan
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Alessandro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Coutinho K. 🟨,
65', Alessandro ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
69', Felipe L. ↓, Leo Felix ↑,
81', Pablo Santos ↓, Ruan Indio ↑,
81', Felipe Morais ↓, Andre ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Rhuan Gabriel ⚽,
90', Wanyson 🟨,
90+2', Andrey Fernandes ↓, Falcao Y. ↑,
90+2', Riquelme Avellar ↓, Alison ↑,
90+2', Juninho ↓, Minete D. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 4.
Cruzeiro U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vasco U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Cruzeiro U20 is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Lamounier V. (G) 
Joaquim 
Nikolic A. 
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