The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trabzonspor 40.1%
Draw 28.7%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
26.8%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
27.1%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trabzonspor's form might have worsened.
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.2%
20.8%
50%
Trabzonspor - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions
Users Predictions:
106 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 31 - 29.2%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 53 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 20.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 40.5% – 59.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Trabzonspor has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (19%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Crvena Zvezda has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality57, big importance73, match rating65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Trabzonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S.
(Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Knee Injury)
Turkmen H.
(Muscle Injury)
Visca E.
(Arm Injury)
There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Krsticic N.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Djaniny
(Muscle Injury)
Peres B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Trondsen A.
(Tendon Injury)
Yazici Y.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Crvena Zvezda: Azarovi I.
(Injury)
Ivanic M.
(Injury)
Australia
Bulgaria
Finland
Norway
Poland
Sweden
United-kingdom
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