Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports Golf
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 4
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Milan		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	9
	1.26	6.5	9.5
	1.28	6.5	9.5
	1.28	6.7	9.9
	1.27	6.61	10.19	Watch
	1.25	6.5	11
	1.3	6.35	10.8
	1.28	6.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.27)	6.49 ↑ (6.06)	9.92 ↓ (11.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Milan
75.5%

Draw
14.8%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

15.9%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	5%	5.9%

Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (90 of 101 users predict this - 89.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.03% – 95.19%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 46. Gabbia M. 28. Thiaw M. 19. Hernandez T. 29. Fofana Y. 14. Reijnders T. 80. Musah Y. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 10. Leao R. 7. Morata A.	77. Gutesa I. (G) 70. Mimovic O. 24. Djiga N. 5. Spajic U. (C) 66. Seol Young-Woo 6. Krunic R. 21. Elsnik T. 15. Silas 55. Maksimovic A. 27. Milson 9. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
90. Abraham T. 73. Camarda F. 21. Chukwueze S. 22. Emerson Royal 31. Pavlovic S. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G)	17. Bruno Duarte 22. Dalcio 33. Drkusic V. 18. Glazer O. (G) 32. Ilic L. 1. Ilic M. (G) 4. Ivanic M. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 25. Lekovic S. 49. Radonjic N. 23. Rodic M.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
29', Morata A. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
32', Musah Y. 🟨,
33', Krunic R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Leao R. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),
45', Hernandez T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Milson ↓, Ivanic M. ↑,
60', Maksimovic A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Radonjic N. ⚽,
75', Mimovic O. ↓, Kanga G. ↑,
79', Tomori F. 🟨,
81', Djiga N. 🟨,
83', Calabria D. ↓, Emerson Royal ↑,
83', Musah Y. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
86', Ndiaye C. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Abraham T. ⚽, Camarda F. (A),

Preview

Milan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Crvena Zvezda in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Milan is certain favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Bennacer I. (Calf Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Okafor N. (Back Injury) Pulisic C. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Avdic A. (Knee Injury) Glazer O. (Muscle Injury) Olayinka P. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Milan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
06.12.24	Atalanta - Milan	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.12.24	Milan - Sassuolo	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Milan - Empoli	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Slovan Bratislava - Milan	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.24	Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWT
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
07.12.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Tekstilac Odžaci	6:0 ✺
04.12.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Mladost Lučani - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Stuttgart	5:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
10.11.24	OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.02.21	Milan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1
18.02.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Milan	2:2

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