Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 2
India	Eurosport
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Zwolle		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	5.75	5.25	1.42	Watch
	6.25	5.25	1.43
	6.4	5.4	1.41
	6.3	5.43	1.44
	5.39	4.94	1.48	Watch
	6.43	5.35	1.43	Watch
	6.4	5.4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↓ (8.15)	5.29 ↑ (5.2)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
15.5%

Draw
18%

PSV Eindhoven
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

18.2%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

17.7%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). PSV will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - PSV (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - PSV (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - PSV (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PSV Eindhoven will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. de Graaff T. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 35. Monteiro J. 30. Thomas R. (C) 19. Faberski J. 25. Oosting T. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.	32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 27. Man D. 34. Saibari I. 11. Driouech C. 20. Til G.
Substitutes
29. Buitink T. 34. Fichtinger N. 6. Gooijer T. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 1. Schendelaar J. (G) 7. Shoretire S. 41. Verduin D. (G) 39. Voute D.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 5. Perisic I. 24. Schiks N. (G) 40. van Duiven R. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Van Der Vegt H.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Saibari I. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
25', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
27', Dest S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Man D. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Aertssen O. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
56', Driouech C. 🟨,
62', Gooijer T. 🟥,
67', 0 - 3, Veerman J. ⚽, Man D. (A),
70', Oosting T. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
70', Faberski J. ↓, Voute D. ↑,
70', Monteiro J. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
73', Mauro Junior ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
73', Veerman J. ↓, Wanner P. ↑,
73', Dest S. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
80', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
80', Saibari I. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
84', de Rooij K. ↓, Lagsir S. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Flamingo R. ⚽, Bajraktarevic E. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1.

Zwolle is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

PSV has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSV is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Muscle Injury) Dest S. (Health problems) Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Muscle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Muscle Injury) Waayers E. (Calf Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: van der Haar D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 18:67. (average 0.9:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 1:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Volendam - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Ajax - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Zwolle - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLL
- PSV Eindhoven
UEFA Champions League
01.10.25	Bayer Leverkusen - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.25	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	3:1
26.10.24	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	6:0
24.02.24	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	1:7
12.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	4:0
15.05.22	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	1:2
16.10.21	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	3:1
13.05.21	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	4:2

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