Match Info
Date: 27 October 2022, ThursdayLocation: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
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Crvena Zvezda Belgrade |
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Trabzonspor |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
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 |
2 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
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 |
1.95 |
3.65 |
3.95 |
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 |
2 |
3.55 |
3.7 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.63 |
3.9 |
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 |
1.95 |
3.5 |
3.75 |
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 |
1.97 |
3.74 |
3.84 |
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 |
2.02 |
3.6 |
3.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.15) |
3.6 ↑
(3.5) |
3.8 ↑
(3.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
48.3% | Draw
26.6% | Trabzonspor
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
101 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 77 - 76.2%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 12 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 67.9% – 84.5%. The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Preview
Crvena Zvezda has a small chance of knockout phase (9%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%).Trabzonspor has a good chance of knockout phase (55%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (19%), has a chance of 2nd (36%), has a chance of 3rd (34%).This event has quality 58, importance 66, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) Crvena Zvezda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games. Crvena Zvezda will have a small advantage in this match.There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S.
(Injury)
Djaniny
(Injury)
Gedikli E.
(Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Knee Injury)
Visca E.
(Arm Injury)There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Peres B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
