The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 48.3%
Draw 26.6%
Trabzonspor 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.9%
27%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
26.3%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
11.9%
11.9%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Trabzonspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
101 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 77 - 76.2%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 12 - 11.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 67.9% – 84.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Crvena Zvezda has a small chance of knockout phase (9%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (4%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (1%), has a small chance of 2nd (8%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%).
Trabzonspor has a good chance of knockout phase (55%), has a chance of round of 16 (29%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 6, has a chance of 1st (19%), has a chance of 2nd (36%), has a chance of 3rd (34%).
This event has quality58, importance66, match rating62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Crvena Zvezda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crvena Zvezda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.
Crvena Zvezda will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S.
(Injury)
Djaniny
(Injury)
Gedikli E.
(Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Knee Injury)
Visca E.
(Arm Injury)
There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Peres B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Australia
Croatia
Finland
Germany
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Sweden
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