Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Germany	18:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	18:45	RTL
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay


	Monaco		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.75
	1.52	4.4	5.75
	1.52	4.65	6
	1.51	4.6	5.8
	1.53	4.65	6.1
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.53	4.7	5.9
	1.52	4.7	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	4.57 ↑ (4.27)	5.91 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
62.9%

Draw
20.9%

Trabzonspor
16.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

22.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82%	9.9%	8.1%

Monaco - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (91 of 111 users predict this - 81.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.83% – 89.13%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Monaco has currently - 3, has a chance of 1st (37%), has a chance of 2nd (36%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (52%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (11%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Trabzonspor has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (12%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a chance of 3rd (41%), has a chance of round of 16 (18%), has a small chance of qtrs (6%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 63, very big importance 100, big match rating 81. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Monaco is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R. (Foot Injury) Geubbels W. (Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S. (Injury) Tokoz D. (Knee Injury) Visca E. (Arm Injury)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Peres B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
02.10.22	Monaco - Nantes	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Reims - Monaco	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Monaco - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.09.22	Monaco - Lyon	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Monaco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
01.10.22	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.09.22	Trabzonspor - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
12.09.22	Adana Demirspor - Trabzonspor	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Ferencvárosi - Trabzonspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Paris FC - Monaco	✺
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
01.11.26	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	✺

Monaco - Trabzonspor