The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trabzonspor 22.1%
Draw 25.6%
Monaco 52.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.4%
27.7%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
28.7%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trabzonspor's form might have worsened.
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Trabzonspor - Monaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
80 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 10 - 12.5%). Monaco will win (votes: 60 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 65.5% โ 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Trabzonspor has a chance of knockout phase (22%), has a small chance of round of 16 (10%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a chance of 2nd (17%), has a chance of 3rd (34%).
Monaco has a good chance of knockout phase (86%), has a good chance of round of 16 (70%), has a chance of qtrs (33%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (57%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a small chance of 3rd (10%).
This event has quality62, importance65, match rating64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Trabzonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Monaco is a favorite.
There will not play in Trabzonspor: Asan S.
(Injury)
Gomez M.
(Red Card)
Peres B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Knee Injury)
Visca E.
(Arm Injury)
There will not play in Monaco: Aguilar R.
(Foot Injury)
Geubbels W.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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