Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Germany	Laola1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.10	4.33	Watch
	1.65	4.10	4.80
	1.70	4.00	4.50	Watch
	1.67	4.30	5.12
	1.77	4.11	4.07	Watch
	1.59	4.15	5.05
	1.68	4.26	4.50
	1.62	4.20	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.02)	4.15 ↑ (3.66)	4.63 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
56.8%

Draw
22.8%

Viktoria Plzeň
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's performance.

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoria Plzeň might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Plzeň could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	11.9%	6%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Plzeň (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (54 of 66 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.52% – 91.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Plzeň (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 32. Luckassen D. 13. Veljkovic M. 21. Elsnik T. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 33. Krunic R. 22. Kostov V. 14. Bukari O. 7. Arnautovic M. 70. Cham M.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 99. Memic A. 40. Dweh S. 37. Krcik D. 14. Doski M. 18. Ladra T. 6. Cerv L. 98. Prebsl F. 19. Souare C. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 80. Adu P.
Substitutes
6. Bajo M. 9. Enem J. 60. Gashtarov M. 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 10. Katai A. 75. Loizou L. 37. Lucic V. 50. Radanovic S. (G) 5. Rodrigo 30. Tebo Uchenna F.	66. Bohac S. 23. Faal B. 25. Kabongo C. 7. Lawal S. 20. Panos J. 36. Pirgic S. 12. Sojka A. 5. Spacil K. 1. Tapaj D. (G) 10. Toure M. 9. Visinsky D. 11. Vydra M.
Coaches
Riera A.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Seol Young-Woo 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
45+3', Souare C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Souare C. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
61', Ladra T. ↓, Pirgic S. ↑,
72', Arnautovic M. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
72', Ivanic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
73', Adu P. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
73', Prebsl F. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
77', Hrosovsky P. 🟨,
81', Kostov V. 🟨,
84', Dweh S. 🟨,
85', Kostov V. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
85', Luckassen D. ↓, Tebo Uchenna F. ↑,
86', Krcik D. ↓, Spacil K. ↑,
88', Spacil K. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Katai A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.66%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
08.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Larne	5:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
26.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
15.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Teplice - Viktoria Plzeň	5:5 ✺
01.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Zbrojovka Brno	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Young Boys	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WTTLL

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