Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić (Belgrade)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	10.00	Watch
	1.27	6.25	9.50
	1.21	6.50	13.00
	1.27	6.26	10.95
	1.2	7.16	12.23	Watch
	1.22	6.25	11.00
	1.25	6.53	9.95
	1.25	6.40	10.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	6.45 ↑ (5.43)	10.83 ↑ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
76.6%

Draw
14.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

17.5%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

16.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's performance.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 3 - 60%). Hapoel Beer Sheva (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 32. Luckassen D. 25. Erakovic S. 23. Tiknizyan N. 21. Elsnik T. 33. Krunic R. (C) 14. Bukari O. 22. Kostov V. 17. Bruno Duarte 9. Enem J.	1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 12. Rotman I. 5. Amador P. 7. Peretz E. 25. Lucas Ventura 28. Yehoshua N. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 9. Ahmed Z.
Substitutes
15. Abu Fani M. 7. Arnautovic M. 8. Balov K. 70. Cham M. 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 4. Ivanic M. 10. Katai A. 75. Loizou L. 27. Strika M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 13. Veljkovic M.	45. Abu Rumi M. 13. Davidzada O. 44. Diop D. T. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan H. 21. Koren Y. 18. Levy R. 19. Ohana A. 36. Shani Y. (G) 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)
Coaches
Stankovic D.	Kozuch R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Rotman I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Enem J. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
46', Elsnik T. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
57', Stankovic D. 🟥,
61', 0 - 1, Zlatanovic I. ⚽, East J. (A),
62', Kostov V. ↓, Ivanic M. ↑,
63', Lucas Ventura 🟨,
66', Yehoshua N. ↓, Abu Rumi M. ↑,
66', Mizrahi G. ↓, Kanaan H. ↑,
73', Bukari O. ↓, Cham M. ↑,
76', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Diop D. T. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, East J. ⚽, Peretz E. (A),
80', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
90+2', Amador P. ↓, Davidzada O. ↑,
90+2', East J. ↓, Ohana A. ↑,
90+2', Abu Fani M. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Crvena Zvezda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Beer Sheva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crvena Zvezda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
08.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Larne	5:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
26.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Larne - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Israeli Super Cup
16.07.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0

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