The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Beer Sheva 18.9%
Draw 23.2%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.5%
40.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
26.9%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Beer Sheva's form might have worsened.
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Beer Sheva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
69 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 4 - 5.8%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 58 - 84.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 75.5% โ 92.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.72) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marciano O. (G) 2. Mizrahi G. 4. Miguel Vitor (C) 12. Rotman I. 3. Baltaxa M. 28. Yehoshua N. 25. Lucas Ventura 7. Peretz E. 20. East J. 66. Zlatanovic I. 9. Ahmed Z.
1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 32. Luckassen D. 25. Erakovic S. 23. Tiknizyan N. 33. Krunic R. 15. Abu Fani M. 14. Bukari O. 22. Kostov V. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 17. Bruno Duarte
Substitutes
45. Abu Rumi M. 5. Amador P. 13. Davidzada O. 44. Diop D. T. 11. Ganah A. C. 23. Hazut I. 8. Kanaan H. 21. Koren Y. 18. Levy R. 19. Ohana A. 27. Stoyanov Y. 34. Wolff M. (G)
7. Arnautovic M. 8. Balov K. 70. Cham M. 21. Elsnik T. 9. Enem J. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 10. Katai A. 75. Loizou L. 24. Stankovic N. 27. Strika M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 13. Veljkovic M.
Coaches
Kozuch R.
Stankovic D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ahmed Z. ⚽,
45+1', Erakovic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zlatanovic I. ↓, Abu Rumi M. ↑,
46', Ivanic M. ↓, Elsnik T. ↑,
46', Kostov V. ↓, Arnautovic M. ↑,
46', Abu Fani M. ↓, Cham M. ↑,
58', Peretz E. 🟨,
58', Baltaxa M. 🟨,
58', Baltaxa M. 🟨,
63', Mizrahi G. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
63', Yehoshua N. ↓, Diop D. T. ↑,
64', Rotman I. 🟨,
72', Bukari O. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
72', Bruno Duarte ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
80', Luckassen D. 🟨,
83', East J. ↓, Ohana A. ↑,
84', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
85', Cham M. 🟨,
88', Peretz E. ↓, Kanaan H. ↑,
Preview
First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Haladรกs Sportkomplexum.
Recent form of Hapoel Beer Sheva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Crvena Zvezda is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Crvena Zvezda is a strong favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Austria
Germany
Israel
Serbia
Usa
Watch
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Marciano O. (G) 
Lucas Ventura 
East J. 
Zlatanovic I. 
Seol Young-Woo 
Luckassen D. 
Tiknizyan N. 
Krunic R. 
Ivanic M. (C) 
Amador P. 
Diop D. T. 
Stoyanov Y. 
Wolff M. (G) 
Arnautovic M. 
Elsnik T. 
Enem J. 
Loizou L. 
Tebo Uchenna F. 
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