Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 34

Date: 20 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Israel	Sport 3
Peru	L1 Max
World	Fanatiz


	Cuiabá		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.91	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.98
	4	3.25	2	Watch
	4.34	3.35	2
	4.14	3.33	1.97	Watch
	3.9	3.1	2
	4.21	3.26	1.97	Watch
	4	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.8)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
23%

Draw
29.1%

Flamengo
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

28.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

28.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	14.3%	81%

Cuiabá - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walter (C) 4. Marllon 34. Bruno Alves 33. Alan Empereur 2. Matheus Alexandre 5. Filipe Augusto 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Denilson Alves 23. Ramon 25. Clayson 22. Derik Lacerda	1. Rossi A. (G) 15. Fabricio Bruno 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 43. Wesley 5. Pulgar E. 52. Evertton 37. Alcaraz C. 6. Ayrton Lucas 30. Michael 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
11. Eliel 44. Gabriel 19. Gustavo Sauer 77. Jadson 7. Jonathan Cafu 63. Juan Tavares 30. Lucas Mineiro 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 9. Pitta I. 21. Railan 20. Souza D.	29. Allan 55. Caio Garcia 33. Cleiton 41. Da Mata 51. Daniel Sales 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 42. Fabiano H. A. d. S. 47. Guilherme 19. Lorran 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 54. Ogundana Shola
Coaches
Franco B.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Alcaraz C. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
58', Ayrton Lucas ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Clayson (A),
62', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
65', Denilson Alves ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
66', Clayson ↓, Gustavo Sauer ↑,
75', Filipe Augusto ↓, Lucas Mineiro ↑,
75', Derik Lacerda ↓, Jadson ↑,
88', Ramon ↓, Souza D. ↑,
89', Evertton 🟨,
89', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Michael (A),
90+5', Bruno Henrique ↓, Cleiton ↑,
90+6', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1.

Cuiabá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flamengo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cuiabá have a series of guest games.

Flamengo will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique (Suspended) Everton (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pedro (Knee Injury) Pulgar E. (Muscle Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cuiabá: Alan Empereur (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
09.11.24	Botafogo RJ - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Cuiabá - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
24.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TTLLT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
13.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.11.24	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.11.24	Flamengo - Atlético Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.10.24	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.07.24	Flamengo - Cuiabá	1:1
03.12.23	Flamengo - Cuiabá	2:1
06.08.23	Cuiabá - Flamengo	3:0
08.10.22	Cuiabá - Flamengo	1:2
15.06.22	Flamengo - Cuiabá	2:0
17.10.21	Flamengo - Cuiabá	0:0
01.07.21	Cuiabá - Flamengo	0:2

Upcoming Matches