Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira Sampiao S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
World	Fanatiz


	Vasco da Gama		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.25	5	Watch
	1.83	3.2	5
	1.83	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.86	3.3	5.09
	1.91	3.22	4.61	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.85	3.3	4.78	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	4.79 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
51.4%

Draw
28.8%

Cuiabá
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vasco da Gama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Vasco da Gama - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 3. Leo 66. Leandrinho 25. Hugo Moura 85. Mateus Carvalho 2. Rodriguez J. 11. Coutinho 17. Rodriguez E. 99. Vegetti P. (C)	1. Walter (C) 2. Matheus Alexandre 4. Marllon 34. Bruno Alves 23. Ramon 5. Filipe Augusto 88. Fernando Sobral 18. Lucas Fernandes 19. Gustavo Sauer 9. Pitta I. 25. Clayson
Substitutes
90. Alex Teixeira 26. Dominguez M. 27. Galdames P. 8. Jair 21. Jean David 13. Keiller (G) 6. Lucas Piton 4. Maicon 10. Payet D. 32. Rojas R. 31. Rossi 20. Sforza J.	27. Denilson Alves 22. Derik Lacerda 11. Eliel 44. Gabriel 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 63. Juan Tavares 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 21. Railan 12. Rhyan (G)
Coaches
Paiva R.	Franco B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Paulo Henrique ↓, Jean David ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Lucas Piton ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Hugo Moura ⚽,
57', Hugo Moura 🟨,
68', Coutinho ↓, Jair ↑,
69', Leandrinho ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
73', Clayson ↓, Eliel ↑,
81', Gustavo Sauer ↓, Derik Lacerda ↑,
87', Mateus Carvalho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
88', Filipe Augusto ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
88', Ramon ↓, Max Alves ↑,
89', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
90', Vegetti P. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Vasco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Injury) David (Injury) Guilherme Estrella (Injury) Jair (Injury) Paulinho (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil
19.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.24	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
02.10.24	Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.09.24	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLT
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
18.10.24	Atlético Goianiense - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa FMF Mato Grosso
07.10.24	Cuiabá - Mixto	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.10.24	Cuiabá - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Fortaleza - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.11.23	Cuiabá - Vasco da Gama	0:2
26.06.23	Vasco da Gama - Cuiabá	1:0
Copa do Brasil
20.05.15	Vasco da Gama - Cuiabá	0:0
13.05.15	Cuiabá - Vasco da Gama	1:1

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