Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 24

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cruzeiro		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	2.01	Watch
	3.10	3.25	2.30
	2.95	3.2	2.32	Watch
	3.62	3.47	2.16
	3.4	3.5	2.14
	3.4	3.3	2.2
	3.54	3.42	2.14	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.94)	3.35 ↑ (3.24)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
28.5%

Draw
28.4%

Flamengo
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.9%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.5%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Cruzeiro - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 43. Joao Marcelo 25. Villalba L. 29. Romero L. (C) 7. Matheus Henrique 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 67. Costa J. 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 13. Danilo 3. Leo Ortiz 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 20. Lucas Paqueta 15. Carrascal J. 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 38. Felipe Morais 8. Gerson 70. Kenji 41. Leo Aragao (G) 16. Lucas Silva 97. Rodriguez L. 27. Rojas G. 22. Villarreal N. 20. Wesley 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Lucas	27. Bruno Henrique 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 52. Evertton Araujo 77. Goes J. 61. Joao Souza 21. Jorginho 99. Lorran 7. Luiz Araujo 8. Niguez S. 19. Plata G.
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Pedro ⚽, de Arrascaeta G. (A),
36', Joao Marcelo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Costa J. ↓, Wesley ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Arroyo K. ⚽, Matheus Henrique (A),
63', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Jorginho ↑,
63', Samuel Lino ↓, Plata G. ↑,
72', Pulgar E. ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
72', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
75', Romero L. ↓, Gerson ↑,
75', Arroyo K. ↓, Kenji ↑,
75', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
82', Bruno Henrique 🟨,
83', Pedro ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
86', Wesley 🟨,
86', Matheus Henrique ↓, Ze Lucas ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Matheus Pereira ⚽, Villalba L. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Flamengo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) Jonathan Jesus (Yellow Cards) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Alex Sandro (Calf Injury) Vitao (Muscle Injury) de la Cruz N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Villarreal N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Everton (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:27. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Flamengo RJ: 57.28% Cruzeiro: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWW
- Flamengo RJ
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Mirassol - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Internacional RS - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1
12.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0
02.10.25	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	0:0
04.05.25	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1
06.11.24	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	0:1
30.06.24	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1

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