Match Info

Copa Centro-Oeste - Round 1

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)


	Cuiabá		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	3.21	3	2.27
	3.11	3.07	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.17	2.97	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.31)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)	2.26 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
28.9%

Draw
30.8%

Tocantinópolis
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

32.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cuiabá's form might have worsened.

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tocantinópolis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cuiabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cuiabá - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cuiabá (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cuiabá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Cuiabá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tocantinópolis is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Cuiabá - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Santa Catarina - Cuiabá	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.26	Sport Sinop - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Cuiabá - Várzea Grande	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLW
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
21.03.26	Tocantinópolis - Capital FC	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Tocantinópolis - Capital FC	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
21.02.26	Gurupi - Tocantinópolis	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tocantinópolis - Guaraí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLWW

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