Match Info

Copa Chile - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)


	Curicó Unido		Audax Italiano

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2
	3.5	3.35	1.95	Watch
	4.3	3.47	1.81
				Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.15
	3.73	3.6	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.32)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
25.3%

Draw
26.9%

Audax Italiano
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

27.8%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	18.2%	63.6%

Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Audax Italiano will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Audax Italiano (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vergara T. (G) 7. Fernandez N. 15. Sanhueza H. 6. Oliver F. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 20. Herrera C. 28. Retamal M. 18. Ortiz F. 10. Rojas D. 36. Hidalgo L. 13. Bustamante C.	1. Ahumada T. (G) 2. Rojas Munoz O. J. 3. Munoz C. 6. Guiffrey G. 13. Ferrario E. 15. Jimenez M. 22. Espejo J. 8. Collao M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 24. Orellana N. 33. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
9. Aliaga I. 37. Fuentes Munoz J. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Guisolfo B. 8. Leiva Y. 25. Munoz H. (G) 21. Ormazabal M. 29. Quinteros M. 24. Saez W.	18. Aedo N. 29. Collao G. (G) 27. Fuentes M. 5. Gil Romero G. 7. Guajardo P. 4. Pina D. 11. Riep A. 17. Riveros L. 19. Troyansky F.
Coaches
Benavente M.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez A. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
46', Jimenez M. ↓, Riep A. ↑,
54', Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),
57', Ferrario E. 🟨,
58', Fernandez N. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
58', Rojas D. ↓, Leiva Y. ↑,
71', Oliver F. 🟨,
73', Ortiz F. ↓, Guisolfo B. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Valencia Rossel L. ⚽, Collao M. (A),
81', Orellana N. ↓, Gil Romero G. ↑,
81', Bustamante C. ↓, Quinteros M. ↑,
81', Retamal M. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
85', Guiffrey G. ↓, Pina D. ↑,
88', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Riveros L. ↑,
90', de La Fuente R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.

In recent matches, Curicó Unido has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Audax Italiano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Audax Italiano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Audax Italiano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.07.25	Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.06.25	Universidad de Chile - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LLTTW
- Audax Italiano
Chilean Cup
01.07.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
22.06.25	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Ñublense - Audax Italiano	2:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.06.25	Deportes Temuco - Audax Italiano	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.25	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.07.23	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	3:0
03.02.23	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:1
24.10.22	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	1:1
16.05.22	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	4:1
05.12.21	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	1:1
21.08.21	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	2:2
03.12.20	Curicó Unido - Audax Italiano	4:1

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