The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 50.2%
Draw 26%
Curicó Unido 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.6%
27.1%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
24.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santiago Wanderers - Curicó Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 10. Luna J. 23. Flores I. 9. Camarda M. 37. San Martin D.
1. Vergara T. (G) 3. Sarria G. 4. Colombo R. 14. Medina C. 15. Sanhueza H. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 21. Ormeno E. 24. Saez W. 28. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 9. Benegas L.
Substitutes
20. Avendano L. 24. Dubo A. 1. Miranda E. (G) 29. Silva C. 32. Vargas V. 19. Villarroel C. 15. Villarroel M.
13. Bustamante C. 37. Guzman R. 2. Munoz D. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 10. Retamales J. 8. Romo J. 22. Tello D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Navarro P. ⚽,
33', Camarda M. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', San Martin D. 🟨,
57', San Martin D. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
64', Colombo R. 🟨,
65', Ibarra H. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
65', Saez W. ↓, Guzman R. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Ormeno E. ⚽,
73', Flores I. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
73', Valenzuela C. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
73', Silva J. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
79', Ormeno E. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽,
86', Benegas L. 🟨,
88', Benegas L. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
90+6', Ormeno E. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
In recent outings, Santiago Wanderers has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Curicó Unido is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Santiago Wanderers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:16 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santiago Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers ✔
29
14
8
7
48:32
16
50
13
Curico Unido
29
7
10
12
26:46
-20
28
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 46.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Martinez B. (G) 
Felipe S. 
Navarro L. 
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