The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 47.9%
Draw 26.7%
Curicó Unido 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
27.1%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
24.3%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 2.
Santiago Wanderers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Curicó Unido is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Santiago Wanderers holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Santiago Wanderers has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:16 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santiago Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
13
Curico Unido
26
6
9
11
22:39
-17
24
Last Results with these Odds
Santiago Wanderers - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 46.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.