The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 32.7%
Draw 26.2%
Deportes Iquique 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.6%
28.4%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.8%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Curicó Unido - Deportes Iquique Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vergara T. (G) 14. Medina C. 2. Munoz D. 40. Oliver F. 15. Sanhueza H. 19. de La Fuente R. 24. Saez W. 21. Ormeno E. 28. Ibarra H. 9. Benegas L. 7. Fernandez N.
12. Castillo D. (G) 14. Rojas D. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 15. Ayala J. 6. Lopez M. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 20. Orellana D. 11. Ramos A. 24. Barrera B.
Substitutes
13. Bustamante C. 43. Gutierrez F. 37. Guzman R. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 10. Retamales J. 8. Romo J. 22. Tello D. (G)
5. Concha V. 31. Diaz I. 17. Gonzalez C. 7. Jones T. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 23. Pereyra J. 28. Troncoso L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Oliver F. 🟨,
35', de La Fuente R. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Sanhueza H. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Venezia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Ayala J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Venezia A. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
56', Ibarra H. ↓, Retamales J. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Benegas L. ⚽,
67', Ramos A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
67', Saez W. ↓, Guzman R. ↑,
73', Guzman R. 🟨,
73', Lopez M. 🟨,
77', Venezia A. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
77', Garrido B. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
77', Barrera B. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
89', Fernandez N. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
89', Ormeno E. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.
Curicó Unido is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportes Iquique is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Curicó Unido could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Curicó Unido has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Curicó Unido has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Curicó Unido against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Deportes Iquique
29
9
11
9
42:33
9
38
13
Curico Unido
29
7
10
12
26:46
-20
28
Last Results with these Odds
Curicó Unido - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.59%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Vergara T. (G) 
Oliver F. 
Ayala J. 
Lopez M. 
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