The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Magallanes 49.3%
Draw 26.4%
Curicó Unido 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
26.3%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
27%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Magallanes's performance.
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curicó Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Deportes Magallanes - Curicó Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 16. Osorio M. 22. Meneses C. 30. Salinas Flores H. 10. Jorquera C. (C) 29. Sepulveda M. 11. Fredes M. 23. Alegre M. 19. Farfan R.
22. Tello D. (G) 3. Sarria G. 4. Colombo R. 15. Sanhueza H. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 37. Guzman R. 10. Retamales J. 7. Fernandez N. 27. Alfaro J. 13. Bustamante C.
Substitutes
35. Cabezas V. 32. Coronel S. 28. Guzman G. 1. Munoz J. (G) 9. Peraza F. 21. Quiroz J. 24. Yanez F.
11. Aliaga I. 19. de La Fuente R. 43. Gutierrez F. 17. Inostroza B. 2. Munoz D. 24. Saez W. 1. Vergara T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Sarria G. 🟨,
36', Walters A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sepulveda M. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
46', Osorio M. ↓, Quiroz J. ↑,
56', Alfaro J. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
64', Ormeno E. ↓, Gutierrez F. ↑,
64', Fernandez N. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Jorquera C. ⚽,
76', Alegre M. ↓, Peraza F. ↑,
76', Walters A. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
76', Retamales J. ↓, Aliaga I. ↑,
76', Guzman R. ↓, de La Fuente R. ↑,
80', Saez W. 🟨,
85', Gutierrez F. 🟨,
87', Jorquera C. ↓, Coronel S. ↑,
90+2', Quiroz J. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 2.
Magallanes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Curicó Unido is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Magallanes could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Magallanes won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Magallanes won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Watch
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Zozaya J. P. (G) 
Walters A. 
Peraza F. 
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