Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)


	Curicó Unido		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.98
	3.6	3.45	1.95
	3.87	3.59	2.01
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.72	3.62	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.45	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (2.36)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	1.96 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
25.5%

Draw
26.8%

Everton de Viña
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.2%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.9%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curicó Unido's form might have worsened.

Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Everton de Viña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curicó Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Everton de Viña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Curicó Unido - Everton de Viña Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Everton will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Curicó Unido is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Everton de Viña is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Everton de Viña could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Everton de Viña will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Curicó Unido won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Curicó Unido won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
23.04.23	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.04.23	Deportes Rengo - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.03.23	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
22.04.23	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Everton de Viña - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
07.04.23	Poblacion los Nogales - Everton de Viña	1:7 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.03.23	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.07.22	Curicó Unido - Everton de Viña	0:4
05.03.22	Everton de Viña - Curicó Unido	1:1
25.09.21	Everton de Viña - Curicó Unido	0:0
23.04.21	Curicó Unido - Everton de Viña	1:1

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