Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ñublense		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.50	4.75
	1.66	3.40	4.40
	1.58	3.65	5.30
	1.60	3.61	5.37
	1.03	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.57	3.50	5.10
	1.58	3.56	5.38
	1.56	3.50	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.76)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	4.56 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
55.2%

Draw
26.3%

Curicó Unido
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.1%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

28.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ñublense - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Munoz H. (G) 3. Salomon C. 10. Plaza M. 15. Valencia S. 18. Cespedes D. 35. Mansilla C. 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. (C) 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A. 31. Poblete J.	22. Tello D. (G) 14. Medina C. 23. Lopez L. 4. Colombo R. 37. Guzman R. 10. Retamales J. 15. Sanhueza H. 8. Romo J. 38. Saldivia V. 9. Benegas L. (C) 17. Inostroza B.
Substitutes
4. Bosso Torres O. 6. Calderon P. 27. Guzman V. 20. Jeraldino I. 11. Molina Canto L. 36. Munoz B. 1. Perez N. (G) 13. Saavedra D. 16. Sanhueza D.	27. Alfaro J. 13. Bustamante C. 42. Dylan M. 39. Gomez J. P. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 21. Ormeno E. 3. Sarria G. 5. Veglio B. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', Saldivia V. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
61', Romo J. 🟨,
61', Cespedes D. ↓, Calderon P. ↑,
62', Plaza M. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
62', Poblete J. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jeraldino I. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
65', Sanhueza H. 🟥,
68', 🟨,
70', Mansilla C. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Colombo R. ⚽,
71', Romo J. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
72', Mansilla C. ↓, Bosso Torres O. ↑,
73', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Campusano J. ⚽, Tapia I. (A),
80', Tapia I. ↓, Molina Canto L. ↑,
84', Inostroza B. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
84', Retamales J. ↓, Veglio B. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Bustamante C. ⚽, Lopez L. (A),
90+7', Rivera M. 🟨,
90+7', Rivera M. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Curicó Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ñublense is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
01.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
25.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Cup
28.06.26	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.06.26	Deportes Temuco - Curicó Unido	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0
10.05.25	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	2:1
26.01.25	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	3:2
Chilean Primera Division
23.09.23	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	0:3
17.03.23	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	1:2
31.10.22	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:2
22.05.22	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	3:1

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