Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sausalito (Vina del Mar)


	Everton de Viña		Ñublense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.57	Watch
	2.68	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.77	3.15	2.81
	2.64	3.18	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.72	3.24	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.57)	3.1 ↓ (3.41)	2.67 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton de Viña
35.1%

Draw
30.1%

Ñublense
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Everton de Viña - Ñublense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 35. Soto L. 4. Magallanes H. 24. Oyarzun D. (C) 15. Fernandez V. 29. Martinez B. 21. Berrios B. 7. Moya J. 11. Ramos Aviles E. M. 10. Medina A. 40. Montiel N.	1. Perez N. (G) 5. Campos Mosqueira F. 4. Bosso Torres O. 15. Valencia S. 8. Graciani G. 21. Reyes L. (C) 28. Rivera M. 14. Campusano J. 19. Tapia I. 20. Jeraldino I. 29. Avalos G.
Substitutes
9. Alfaro J. 14. Baeza N. 18. Chadwick Bosco C. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 25. Kirkman E. (G) 22. Londono S. 36. Navarro B. 37. Vidal V. 20. Villagran	6. Calderon P. 18. Cespedes D. 11. Molina Canto L. 25. Munoz H. (G) 7. Ovelar F. 10. Plaza M. 9. Rami F. 16. Sanhueza D. 22. Valdes A.
Coaches
Ribonetto W.	Ribera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Rivera M. 🟨,
44', Fernandez V. ↓, Baeza N. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Montiel N. 🟨,
57', Tapia I. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
57', Avalos G. ↓, Plaza M. ↑,
57', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
71', Moya J. 🟨,
74', Martinez B. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
74', Montiel N. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
76', Rivera M. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
86', Graciani G. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
86', Berrios B. ↓, Vidal V. ↑,
90', Soto L. 🟨,
90+1', Campusano J. 🟨,
90+5', Sanhueza D. 🟨,
90+7', Ovelar F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Everton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ñublense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Everton	23	10	6	7	37:25	12	36
8	Nublense	23	8	8	7	28:31	-3	32

Last Results with these Odds

Ñublense - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton de Viña
Chilean Copa de la Liga
31.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Everton de Viña - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.26	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LLWTW
- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
15.03.26	Ñublense - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
03.08.25	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:0
01.03.25	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	1:2
17.08.24	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:1
16.03.24	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	3:2
03.09.23	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:0
11.03.23	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	1:0
14.09.22	Everton de Viña - Ñublense	1:1

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