The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 38.1%
Draw 28.8%
Universidad de Concepción 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
28.1%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
24.6%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Curicó Unido's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curicó Unido that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 14. Medina C. 23. Lopez L. 4. Colombo R. 37. Guzman R. 10. Retamales J. 15. Sanhueza H. 21. Ormeno E. 27. Alfaro J. 9. Benegas L. (C) 17. Inostroza B.
12. Matamala D. (G) 32. Saez B. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 17. Gonzalez M. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 8. Mater F. 34. Herrera F. 20. Rojas L. 7. Urzi A. 25. Salgado H. 36. Suazo M.
Substitutes
13. Bustamante C. 42. Dylan M. 2. Munoz D. 40. Oliver F. 18. Perez F. 8. Romo J. 38. Saldivia V. 5. Veglio B. 1. Vergara T. (G)
11. Diaz A. 21. Espejo J. 10. Fuentealba J. 33. Medina R. 19. Mesias C. 16. Ogaz B. 23. Romero P. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 30. Ther A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Mater F. ⚽, Salgado H. (A),
24', Medina C. 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Inostroza B. ⚽,
26', Rojas L. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Inostroza B. ⚽, Medina C. (A),
43', 2 - 2, Mater F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Herrera F. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
55', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
57', Alfaro J. ↓, Saldivia V. ↑,
58', Saez B. 🟨,
65', Rojas L. ↓, Fuentealba J. ↑,
65', Saez B. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
78', Salgado H. ↓, Medina R. ↑,
79', Benegas L. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
80', Ormeno E. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
85', Suazo M. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
85', Bustamante C. 🟨,
90+2', Retamales J. ↓, Dylan M. ↑,
90+2', Inostroza B. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 0.
Curicó Unido is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Uni de Concepción has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Curicó Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Tello D. (G) 
Medina C. 
Mater F. 
Veglio B. 
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