Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 14

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Bicentenario La Granja (Curicó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Curicó Unido		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.22
	3.01	3.5	2.44
	2.88	3.52	2.28	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.3
	2.83	3.32	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.69)	3.4 ↓ (3.43)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curicó Unido
32.5%

Draw
27.2%

Deportes Antofagasta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.8%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	43.7%	18.7%

Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Antofagasta will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Antofagasta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (C) 3. Sarria G. 4. Colombo R. 21. Ormeno E. 14. Medina C. 15. Sanhueza H. 37. Guzman R. 10. Retamales J. 7. Fernandez N. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 11. Aliaga I.	12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 3. Maluenda M. 22. Suarez M. 6. Diaz C. 13. Abuhadba Z. 8. Leyton S. 10. Rojas D. 20. Cuadra A. 7. Bravo C. 9. Monreal J. 17. Hurtado B.
Substitutes
29. Avendano D. 9. Benegas L. 17. Inostroza B. 23. Lopez L. 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E. 8. Romo J. 1. Vergara T. (G)	11. Bandez J. D. 14. Campillay K. 24. Castro P. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 15. Ibacache A. 1. Marin C. (G) 4. Tapia B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Ormeno E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hurtado B. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
52', Aliaga I. ↓, Benegas L. ↑,
59', Leyton S. 🟨,
60', Hurtado Perez F. 🟨,
64', Bravo C. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
74', Colombo R. 🟨,
75', Rojas D. ↓, Gallegos Panozzo M. ↑,
77', Ormeno E. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
78', Retamales J. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
78', Bandez J. D. ↓, Ibacache A. ↑,
81', Campillay K. 🟨,
83', Maluenda M. 🟨,
83', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↑,
87', Benegas L. 🟨,
88', Abuhadba Z. 🟨,
89', 1 - 0, Inostroza B. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Antofagasta	26	11	8	7	44:26	18	41
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.05.26	Deportes Iquique - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Curicó Unido - Santiago Wanderers	0:3 ✺
11.05.26	Curicó Unido - San Marcos de Arica	2:2 ✺
30.04.26	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLTLW
- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Deportes Antofagasta - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	0:2
25.05.25	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0
20.10.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2
02.06.24	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	1:1
Chilean Primera Division
15.09.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	0:0
Chilean Cup
21.08.22	Curicó Unido - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1
17.08.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	4:2

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