Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 1

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Ñublense		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3	Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.50
	2.12	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.16	3.15	3.41
	2.14	3.22	3.43	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.3
	2.07	3.13	3.37	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
43.8%

Draw
28.7%

Universidad de Concepción
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: Ñublense will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Munoz H. (C) 10. Plaza M. 3. Salomon C. 6. Calderon P. 27. Guzman V. 7. Ovelar F. 18. Cespedes D. 16. Sanhueza D. 19. Tapia I. 22. Valdes A. 31. Poblete J.	12. Matamala D. (G) 19. Mesias C. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 6. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 20. Rojas L. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 32. Saez B. 29. Sabando D. 11. Diaz A.
Substitutes
12. Chandia C. (G) 23. Gonzalez J. 20. Jeraldino I. 11. Molina Canto L. 24. Montecinos C. 9. Rami F. 28. Rivera M. 13. Saavedra D. 15. Valencia S.	21. Espejo J. 17. Gonzalez M. 8. Mater F. 33. Medina R. 23. Romero P. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 36. Suazo 30. Ther A. 7. Urzi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Valdes A. ⚽,
31', Mesias C. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Mesias C. ⚽,
36', Guzman V. 🟨,
41', Cespedes D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Saez B. ↓, Espejo J. ↑,
46', Tapia I. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
46', Poblete J. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
46', Plaza M. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Rami F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Rojas L. ↓, Urzi A. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Gonzalez O. ⚽, Mesias C. (A),
65', 3 - 2, Sanhueza D. ⚽,
66', Ubal B. 🟨,
68', Rami F. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
70', Mesias C. ↓, Mater F. ↑,
70', Sabando D. ↓, Suazo M. ↑,
73', Ribera J. 🟨,
80', 4 - 2, Jeraldino I. ⚽, Valdes A. (A),
81', Diaz A. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
86', Ovelar F. ↓, Montecinos C. ↑,
86', Valdes A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 4.

Ñublense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni de Concepción has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Uni de Concepción has had a series of away games.

Ñublense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Cup
21.06.26	Curicó Unido - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Ñublense - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWT
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Rangers de Talca - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.06.26	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Concepción	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.05.26	Universidad de Concepción - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
06.06.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
23.05.26	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:2
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:2
Chilean Cup
05.04.25	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:0
31.01.25	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	2:3
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.15	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	2:2
18.10.14	Ñublense - Universidad de Concepción	2:1

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