The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 36.2%
Draw 28.4%
Unión La Calera 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
28%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.3%
27.7%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Concepción's form might have worsened.
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión La Calera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión La Calera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Universidad de Concepción - Unión La Calera Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Unión La Calera will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Uni de Concepción (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Concepción (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanhueza J. (G) 21. Espejo J. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 5. Retamal D. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 8. Mater F. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 7. Urzi A. 29. Sabando D. 22. Uribe A.
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. 3. Palma N. 2. Andia Leon Y. W. 27. Gutierrez D. 24. Requena J. 8. Leiva Y. 10. Mendez K. 19. Campos M. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 11. Saez S. (C)
Substitutes
3. Gonzalez L. 12. Matamala D. (G) 19. Mesias C. 14. Parra P. 20. Rojas L. 23. Romero P. 25. Salgado H. 6. Ubal B. 27. Zambrano C.
20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 30. Fernandez M. 4. Gutierrez C. 26. Maturana M. 9. Pozzo F. 29. Soto J. 14. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Viveros R.
Cicotello M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
45+2', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Espejo J. 🟨,
56', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
65', Leiva Y. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
65', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
65', Sabando D. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
72', Uribe A. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
72', Ogaz B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
83', Campos M. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
84', Urzi A. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
84', Espejo J. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
87', Mendez K. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 4.
Uni de Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión La Calera is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Uni de Concepción could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
U. De Concepcion
24
6
5
13
18:40
-22
23
16
Union La Calera
23
4
5
14
19:40
-21
17
Last Results with these Odds
Unión La Calera - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.33%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Sanhueza J. (G) 
Mater F. 
Urzi A. 
Mendez K. 
Gutierrez C. 
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