Match Info

National League North - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Chester

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	3.55	3.7	1.85
	3.8	3.84	1.85
	3.69	3.95	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	3.75	3.65	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)	3.72 ↓ (3.93)	1.83 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
25%

Draw
24.7%

Chester
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

23.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Curzon Ashton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Curzon Ashton - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Curzon Ashton will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Chester will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Burgess S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 1.

Curzon Ashton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chester is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chester will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.7:1.9).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Chester: 10.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chester	10	5	2	3	13:9	4	17

Last Results with these Odds

Chester - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
21.03.26	King`s Lynn Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Spennymoor Town - Curzon Ashton	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Curzon Ashton - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Curzon Ashton - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTL
- Chester City
English National League North
21.03.26	Chester - Southport	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Chester	1:1 ✺
10.03.26	Merthyr Town - Chester	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chester - Darlington	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Chester - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
27.09.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	5:1
English National League North
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1
29.03.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1
26.10.24	Curzon Ashton - Chester	4:0
09.03.24	Chester - Curzon Ashton	0:0
28.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1
14.01.23	Chester - Curzon Ashton	2:2

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