The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chester 41.5%
Draw 26.4%
Darlington 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
26.1%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
25.4%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Chester - Darlington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mottley-Henry D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Lees T. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 1.
Chester is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Darlington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Chester won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chester: 10.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Chester
10
5
2
3
13:9
4
17
22
Darlington
10
2
1
7
12:21
-9
7
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.88%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Darlington - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.06%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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