Match Info

National League North - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.45	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.58
	2.52	3.43	2.65
	2.40	3.22	2.87	Watch
	2.55	3.32	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.91)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	2.64 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
37%

Draw
28.1%

Curzon Ashton
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bedford Town's performance.

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curzon Ashton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bedford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bedford Town - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curzon Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Curran A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Marsh T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Brown E. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Weston T. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Bedford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Curzon Ashton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English National League North
02.09.25	Hereford - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Fylde - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Bedford Town - South Shields	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Marine - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
02.09.25	Curzon Ashton - Chorley	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buxton - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWLT

Upcoming Matches