The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curzon Ashton 31.6%
Draw 28%
Chorley 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
28%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
27.6%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Curzon Ashton - Chorley Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Curzon Ashton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Chorley will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 3.
Recent performances by Curzon Ashton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chorley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.31%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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