Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Matlock Town		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.8	1.71
	3.75	4	1.72
	3.82	4.15	1.75
	3.82	4.15	1.76
	3.7	3.8	1.7
	3.85	3.8	1.73
	3.75	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.23)	3.96 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matlock Town
24.2%

Draw
23%

Radcliffe
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

25.7%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.6%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matlock Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radcliffe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radcliffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matlock Town - Radcliffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matlock won 2.

Recent matches Matlock is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radcliffe in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Matlock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Radcliffe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Matlock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Matlock won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matlock Town
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	North Ferriby FC - Matlock Town	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Matlock Town - Basford United	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Ashton United - Matlock Town	5:0 ✺
14.10.23	Matlock Town - Workington	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Matlock Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTL
- Radcliffe FC
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	United of Manchester - Radcliffe	2:3 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
24.10.23	Radcliffe - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Ashton United - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
14.10.23	Radcliffe - Ilkeston	3:0 ✺
10.10.23	Radcliffe - Macclesfield Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
03.12.22	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	2:2
16.08.22	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	1:0
29.03.22	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	0:0
28.09.21	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	0:1
04.02.20	Matlock Town - Radcliffe	4:0
19.10.19	Radcliffe - Matlock Town	1:0

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