Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Curzon Ashton		Barnet

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.45
	5	4.33	1.6
	6	4.5	1.45
	5.72	4.87	1.5
	5.72	4.87	1.47
	5.8	4.4	1.44
	5.75	4.7	1.48	Watch
	5.6	4.6	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.14)	4.63 ↑ (4.28)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
16.3%

Draw
20.3%

Barnet
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

21.8%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.4%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Curzon Ashton - Barnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mason C. (G) 4. Poscha M. 12. Waring G. 5. Matthews D. 6. Kenyon A. 22. Barton A. 19. Richards J. 14. Mols S. 7. Sinclair I. 11. Hayhurst W. 9. Spencer J. (C)	1. Walker L. (G) 6. Okimo J. 20. Stevens C. 30. Potter F. 18. Hartigan A. 14. Pritchard H. (C) 11. Kanu I. 10. Stead C. 33. Brunt Z. 23. Beard S. 9. Kabamba N.
Substitutes
15. Allen J. 18. Edmundson D. 99. Lopes I. 21. Mahon C. 13. Ollerenshaw J. (G)	5. Armstrong M. 4. Collinge D. 32. Cropper J. 13. Gillmore J. (G) 8. Gorman D. 26. Hooper G. 7. Senior C.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barnet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Curzon Ashton have a series of home games.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
28.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Boston United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW
- Barnet
English National League
28.10.23	Oxford City - Barnet	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Barnet - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Barnet - Maidenhead United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Barnet - Aveley	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Aveley - Barnet	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWWT

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