The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curzon Ashton 34.4%
Draw 24.7%
Radcliffe 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
24%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
22.8%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
The chances for Radcliffe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Clegg R. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Smith R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, Hulme J. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Curzon Ashton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Radcliffe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Curzon Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Radcliffe - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.93%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
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