Match Info

National League North - Round 19

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.92	3.7	3.25
	1.97	3.82	3.39
	2.35	3.67	2.63	Watch
	1.95	3.55	3.28
	1.93	3.66	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.35)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
46.1%

Draw
25%

Curzon Ashton
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.9%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curzon Ashton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Darlington - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Darlington will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Stobbs J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Curran A. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Lennon C. ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, Weston T. ⚽,
81', 3 - 3, McGowan W. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 1.

Darlington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Curzon Ashton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Curzon Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
22.11.25	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
18.11.25	Darlington - Peterborough Sports	5:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	United of Manchester - Darlington	3:2 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Darlington	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWLWW
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
22.11.25	Worksop Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Ilkeston - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
English National League North
08.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.01.25	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	0:0
26.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	0:0
27.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	1:3
05.08.23	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	1:3
18.04.23	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	0:2
06.12.22	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	0:2
15.04.22	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	0:2

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