Match Info

National League North - Round 42

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.1	6.5
	1.37	4.2	6.75
	1.38	4.5	7.6
	1.39	4.77	7.44
	1.33	4.75	8.3
	1.38	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.47 ↑ (4.04)	7.37 ↓ (8.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
67%

Draw
20.6%

Warrington Town
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

22.7%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

14.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Curzon Ashton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Curzon Ashton - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Sinclair I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Curzon Ashton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Curzon Ashton is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Curzon Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Curzon Ashton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
01.04.25	Needham Market - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Chester - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:1 ✺
18.03.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Curzon Ashton - Marine	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL
- Warrington Town
English National League North
01.04.25	Spennymoor Town - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Warrington Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Oxford City - Warrington Town	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Warrington Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Chester - Warrington Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1
17.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Warrington Town	0:3
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	2:3
English National League North
28.08.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	1:4

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