Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 38

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.25	4.75	10
	1.26	4.8	9
	1.27	5.2	10
	1.28	5.28	10.87
	1.29	4.86	11.66	Watch
	1.29	4.75	11
	1.26	5	11.3
	1.27	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	4.98 ↑ (3.88)	10.48 ↑ (8.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
72.6%

Draw
18.5%

Warrington Town
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

23.7%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

22.5%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chester's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Chester - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, James A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Peers T. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, O'Kane T. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Mooney D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Chester is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
08.03.25	Chorley - Chester	3:2 ✺
01.03.25	Chester - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Oxford City - Chester	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Farsley - Chester	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Chester - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTWW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
08.03.25	Warrington Town - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Warrington Town - Chorley	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Hereford - Warrington Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.11.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:1
01.01.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:0
26.12.23	Chester - Warrington Town	2:0

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