Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 40

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)


	Oxford City		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.25
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.86	3.55	3.8
	1.87	3.59	3.96	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.85	3.5	3.9
	1.86	3.55	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	3.56 ↓ (3.84)	3.76 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
49.7%

Draw
25.8%

Warrington Town
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

24%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

22.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford City's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oxford City - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Carbon J. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Clarke P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Ashby J. ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Coyle L. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Oxford City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oxford City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oxford City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
18.03.25	South Shields - Oxford City	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Alfreton Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Oxford City - Buxton	0:7 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.03.25	Oxford City - Woking	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League North
25.02.25	Oxford City - Chester	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLLT
- Warrington Town
English National League North
15.03.25	Warrington Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Chester - Warrington Town	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Warrington Town - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Warrington Town - Scarborough Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2

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