The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Círculo Deportivo 75%
Draw 18.9%
Sol de Mayo 6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.2%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
17.7%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Círculo Deportivo's performance.
Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Círculo Deportivo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sol de Mayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G)
9. Barberini V.
10. Bassani J.
3. Buscaglia S.
7. Castelli B.
11. Cos B.
8. Gomez L.
5. Grahl F. (C)
2. Martinez J.
4. Rojas F.
6. Vilchez J.
Substitutes
19. Banchio R.
16. Campagnaro M.
14. Gimenez T.
20. Iriberri I.
12. Lerena S. (G)
17. Rius C.
13. Sasso M.
18. Tonon M.
15. Villalba F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Barberini V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟨,
54', Otero G. ↓, Oliva F. F. ↑,
68', 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Neutral location - Estadio El Fortin.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 3.
Círculo Deportivo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sol de Mayo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Círculo Deportivo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Círculo Deportivo as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Círculo Deportivo has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Círculo Deportivo against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 18:8 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).