Match Info
Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4Date: 16 August 2026, SundayLocation: Estadio Sol De Mayo (Viedma)
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Sol de Mayo |
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Germinal |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.00 |
2.95 |
3.40 |
|
 |
1.70 |
3.35 |
4.30 |
|
 |
2.13 |
2.82 |
3.48 |
|
 |
2.07 |
2.97 |
3.76 |
 Watch |
 |
2.12 |
2.75 |
3.40 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.98 |
3.83 |
|
 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
4.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.62) |
3.05 ↓
(3.45) |
3.85 ↓
(4.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sol de Mayo
46.2% | Draw
30% | Germinal
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sol de Mayo's form might have worsened.Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sol de Mayo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germinal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Sol de Mayo - Germinal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Torres L. (G)
3. Amud L.
9.  Cordoba E.
10. Jara S.
4. Lopez S.
11. Montero I.
7. Pereira K.
6. Perez S.
5. Quilen L.
2. Scolari J.
8. Soria E.
| 1. Molini L. (G)
9. De Hoyos D.
11. Gonzalez A.
3. Moreno A.
5. Moron G.
8. Oliveri T.
6. Rios N.
10. Rojas J.
7. Santilli E.
2. Sveruk L.
4. Yocco L.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 🟨,
- 28', 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Jara S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', 🟨,
- 54', Rojas J. 🟥,
- 59', Moron G. ↓, Nunez G. ↑,
- 68', 🟥,
- 78', 🟥,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+5', Cordoba E. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 1.Sol de Mayo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Germinal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Sol de Mayo is the team to beat.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sol de Mayo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Sol de Mayo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Torneo Federal | | | 24.05.26 | Germinal - Sol de Mayo | 1:0 | | 22.03.26 | Sol de Mayo - Germinal | 1:1 | | 24.08.25 | Germinal - Sol de Mayo | 1:2 | | 13.07.25 | Germinal - Sol de Mayo | 3:1 | | 11.05.25 | Sol de Mayo - Germinal | 1:1 | | 16.06.24 | Germinal - Sol de Mayo | 3:0 | | 21.04.24 | Sol de Mayo - Germinal | 2:2 |
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