Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Trama (Comandante Nicanor Otamendi)


	Círculo Deportivo		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.70	2.85
	2.45	2.58	3
	2.39	2.73	3.06
	2.56	2.76	2.99	Watch
	2.35	2.7	3
	2.58	2.84	3.05
	2.35	2.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)	2.72 ↓ (2.8)	3 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Círculo Deportivo
36.8%

Draw
33.1%

Costa Brava
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Círculo Deportivo - Costa Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) 7. Banchio R. 9. Barberini V. 3. Buscaglia S. 11. Campagnaro M. 8. Gomez L. 5. Grahl F. (C) 10. Juarez R. 6. Martinez J. 2. Rojas F. 4. Vilchez J.	1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 7. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 11. Gomez T. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 8. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 5. Rivas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Ortiz M. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Círculo Deportivo has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Círculo Deportivo - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.02%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Círculo Deportivo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Juventud Unida Universitario - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Círculo Deportivo - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	FADEP - Círculo Deportivo	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Círculo Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTWLT
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Costa Brava - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	FADEP - Costa Brava	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Costa Brava - Germinal	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTTL

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