Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu (General Pico)


	Costa Brava		Sol de Mayo

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.70	6.75
	1.38	3.85	7.2
	1.34	4.45	8.14
	1.44	3.93	7.25	Watch
	1.33	4.15	7.55
	1.28	4.82	7.85
	1.25	4.35	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)	4.18 ↑ (3.55)	8.25 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Costa Brava
67.2%

Draw
21.7%

Sol de Mayo
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.2%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

23.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Costa Brava's performance.

Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Costa Brava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Costa Brava - Sol de Mayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 4. Garoni J. 11. Gomez T. 9. Gutierrez L. 10. Ibarra L. 8. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 5. Rivas M. 7. Vivani J.	1. Torres L. (G) 11. Jara G. 10. Jara S. 3. Lopez S. 9. Oliva F. F. 6. Perez S. 4. Preciado M. 5. Quilen L. 2. Scolari J. 8. Soria E. 7. Valdebenito F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
24', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Ibarra L. ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Costa Brava has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sol de Mayo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Costa Brava may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Costa Brava as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	Santamarina de Tandil - Costa Brava	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Costa Brava - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Círculo Deportivo - Costa Brava	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Costa Brava - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLWW
- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	FADEP - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Upcoming Matches