Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 15

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Cəbrayıl		Karvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.55	1.69	Watch
	4.77	3.38	1.66
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	4.67	3.53	1.71
	4.4	3.55	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.59)	3.48 ↑ (3.25)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cəbrayıl
19.7%

Draw
26.1%

Karvan
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cəbrayıl's form might have worsened.

Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karvan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karvan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cəbrayıl - Karvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Qasymov E. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, Aliyev E. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2).

Cəbrayıl is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Karvan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cəbrayıl have a series of guest games.

In this match Karvan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cəbrayıl won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cəbrayıl FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.02.25	Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
06.02.25	MOIK Baku - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
24.12.24	İmişli - Cəbrayıl	0:0 ✺
19.12.24	Zagatala - Cəbrayıl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLLTL
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.02.25	Karvan - MOIK Baku	3:1 ✺
06.02.25	İmişli - Karvan	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Karvan - Difai Ağsu	3:3 ✺
24.12.24	Baku Sporting - Karvan	0:2 ✺
19.12.24	Karvan - Mingachevir	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
07.11.24	Karvan - Cəbrayıl	1:2

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