Match Info

I Liqa - Round 10

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday


	Mingachevir		Cəbrayıl

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.45	3.7
	1.78	3.53	3.8
	2.82	3.40	2.25	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.76	3.54	4	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.04)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	3.55 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mingachevir
47.4%

Draw
26.7%

Cəbrayıl
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cəbrayıl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cəbrayıl than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Abdullayev S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 0, Safarov Q. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mingachevir will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mingachevir won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
26.11.25	Mingachevir - Baku Sporting	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	MOIK Baku - Mingachevir	0:3 ✺
05.11.25	Mingachevir - Şəfa	2:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Gabala - Mingachevir	5:1 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
23.10.25	Zagatala - Mingachevir	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Cəbrayıl FK
Azerbaijan First Division
27.11.25	Səbail - Cəbrayıl	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Cəbrayıl - Shimal	7:0 ✺
05.11.25	Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl	2:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
28.10.25	Cəbrayıl - Şəfa	0:3 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
23.10.25	Cəbrayıl - Shahdag Qusar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
17.09.25	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	1:3
17.04.25	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	2:0
13.02.25	Mingachevir - Cəbrayıl	0:0
24.10.24	Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir	3:0

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