Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: I Liqa - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday


	Karvan		Mingachevir

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.64	3.85	4.3
	1.58	4.32	4.1
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.58	3.94	4.71
	1.64	3.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)	3.87 ↓ (4.5)	4.32 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karvan
55.7%

Draw
23.3%

Mingachevir
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

19%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karvan's form might have worsened.

Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karvan than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karvan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Karvan - Mingachevir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Karvan will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mingachevir will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Qasymov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Khudaverdiyev K. 🟥,
47', 2 - 0, Morgan E. ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, Mushtagov I. ⚽,
57', 4 - 0, Alakbarov M. ⚽,
59', 5 - 0, Qasymov E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.12.24	Zagatala - Karvan	2:2 ✺
28.11.24	Karvan - Gabala	0:1 ✺
07.11.24	Karvan - Cəbrayıl	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Karvan	3:0 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
24.10.24	MOIK Baku - Karvan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLW
- Mingachevir FK
Azerbaijan First Division
13.12.24	Mingachevir - İmişli	0:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.12.24	Araz Naxçıvan - Mingachevir	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan First Division
28.11.24	Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir	3:3 ✺
08.11.24	Mingachevir - Baku Sporting	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
30.10.24	Mingachevir - Zagatala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
18.09.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:3
14.03.24	Mingachevir - Karvan	1:0

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